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Wednesday, January 11, 2012

Bracket Projections - 1/11/2012

Here are my projections for games played through 1/10/2012.  With conference play starting to get into full swing, I am now projecting each of the current conference leaders to get the auto-bid for their conference (even if I don't necessarily think they will end up there).  As a result teams like Colorado who's currently leading the Pac-12 is being projected to make the tournament here although they have pretty much no shot at getting an at-large bid.  This sort of thing helps account for the fact that there's always a few "bid thieves" come March and thus makes for a more accurate projection of where the line is between those that are in the tournament and those that are out.

1 Seeds:  SYRACUSE, Ohio State, Kentucky, NORTH CAROLINA
2 Seeds:  MICHIGAN STATE, Indiana, Duke, BAYLOR
3 Seeds:  Kansas, Missouri, UNLV, Georgetown
4 Seeds:  Alabama, Kansas State, Gonzaga, Seton Hall
5 Seeds:  Marquette, Connecticut, Michigan, Louisville
6 Seeds:  Florida,  MURRAY STATE, West Virginia, Creighton
7 Seeds:  Wisconsin, Virginia, Purdue, VANDERBILT
8 Seeds:  SAINT MARY'S, WICHITA STATE, New Mexico, Illinois
9 Seeds:  California, Saint Louis, Memphis, San Diego State
10 Seeds:  DAYTON, SOUTHERN MISS, Temple, Mississippi State
11 Seeds:  Brigham Young, Texas, IONA, Northern Iowa
12 Seeds:  Stanford, Marshall, HARVARD, Virginia Tech, Iowa State, Xavier
13 Seeds:  LONG BEACH STATE, ORAL ROBERTS, MIDDLE TENNESSEE, CLEVELAND STATE
14 Seeds:  BELMONT, DAVIDSON, NEVADA, COLORADO
15 Seeds:  LAMAR, GEORGE MASON, WEBER STATE, BUCKNELL
16 Seeds:  NORFOLK STATE, BALL STATE, NC ASHEVILLE, LONG ISLAND, STONY BROOK, MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

Last 4 Byes:  Brigham Young, Texas, Northern Iowa, Stanford
Last 4 In:  Marshall, Virginia Tech, Iowa State, Xavier
First 4 Out:  Florida State, Saint Joseph's, NC State, Northwestern
Next 4 Out:  Missouri State, Arizona, Cincinnati, Wyoming

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