Friday, February 28, 2014

Bracket Projection - 2/28/2014

1 Seeds:  ARIZONA, FLORIDA, KANSAS, WICHITA STATE
2 Seeds:  Duke, Creighton, VILLANOVA, Syracuse
3 Seeds:  Wisconsin, VIRGINIA, MICHIGAN, Michigan State
4 Seeds:  Louisville, Iowa State, Kentucky, SAINT LOUIS
5 Seeds:  Ohio State, UCLA, North Carolina, CINCINNATI
6 Seeds:  Iowa, SAN DIEGO STATE, Connecticut, Texas
7 Seeds:  VCU, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Massachusetts
8 Seeds:  GONZAGA, Pittsburgh, SMU, Arizona State
9 Seeds:  Stanford, Kansas State, George Washington, Memphis
10 Seeds:  Oregon, Baylor, BYU, Colorado
11 Seeds:  Oklahoma State, Tennessee, Xavier, Minnesota, St. Joseph's
12 Seeds:  HARVARD, California, GREEN BAY, Providence, SOUTHERN MISS
13 Seeds:  NORTH DAKOTA STATE, STEPHEN F AUSTIN, IONA, MERCER
14 Seeds:  GEORGIA STATE, UC IRVINE, DELAWARE, BELMONT
15 Seeds:  VERMONT, NC CENTRAL, BOSTON U, WESTERN MICHIGAN
16 Seeds:  DAVIDSON, ROBERT MORRIS, WEBER STATE, UTAH VALLEY, HIGH POINT, ALABAMA STATE

Last 4 Byes:  Colorado, Oklahoma State, Tennessee, Xavier
Last 4 In:  Minnesota, St. Joseph's, California, Providence
First 4 Out:  Missouri, Florida State, Arkansas, St. John's
Next 4 Out:  Louisiana Tech, Georgetown, Nebraska, Dayton

Thursday, February 27, 2014

Bracket Projection - 2/27/2014

1 Seeds:  ARIZONA, FLORIDA, KANSAS, WICHITA STATE
2 Seeds:  Duke, Villanova, Creighton, Syracuse
3 Seeds:  Wisconsin, VIRGINIA, MICHIGAN, Michigan State
4 Seeds:  Louisville, Kentucky, SAINT LOUIS, Iowa State
5 Seeds:  Ohio State, UCLA, North Carolina, CINCINNATI
6 Seeds:  Iowa, SAN DIEGO STATE, Connecticut, Texas
7 Seeds:  VCU, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Massachusetts
8 Seeds:  GONZAGA, Pittsburgh, SMU, Stanford
9 Seeds:  Memphis, George Washington, Kansas State, Colorado
10 Seeds:  Arizona State, Oklahoma State, Oregon, Baylor
11 Seeds:  BYU, Xavier, St. Joseph's, California, Missouri
12 Seeds:  HARVARD, Minnesota, GREEN BAY, Providence, NORTH DAKOTA STATE
13 Seeds:  STEPHEN F AUSTIN, IONA, NEW MEXICO STATE, MERCER
14 Seeds:  MIDDLE TENNESSEE, UC SANTA BARBARA, GEORGIA STATE, DELAWARE
15 Seeds:  VERMONT, BELMONT, NC CENTRAL, BOSTON U
16 Seeds:  WESTERN MICHIGAN, DAVIDSON, ROBERT MORRIS, WEBER STATE, SOUTHERN, HIGH POINT

Last 4 Byes:  Baylor, BYU, Xavier, St. Joseph's
Last 4 In:  California, Missouri, Minnesota, Providence
First 4 Out:  Florida State, Southern Miss, Nebraska, Richmond
Next 4 Out:  Tennessee, St. John's, Arkansas, Georgetown

Monday, February 24, 2014

Bracket Projections - 2/24/2014

1 Seeds:  ARIZONA, FLORIDA, KANSAS, WICHITA STATE
2 Seeds:  Duke, Villanova, CREIGHTON, Syracuse
3 Seeds:  Wisconsin, VIRGINIA, MICHIGAN, Michigan State
4 Seeds:  Louisville, Kentucky, SAINT LOUIS, Iowa State
5 Seeds:  Ohio State, UCLA, CINCINNATI, SAN DIEGO STATE
6 Seeds:  Iowa, North Carolina, Connecticut, Oklahoma
7 Seeds:  New Mexico, Texas, Massachusetts, Memphis
8 Seeds:  VCU, Pittsburgh, SMU, Stanford
9 Seeds:  Arizona State, George Washington, Kansas State, Colorado
10 Seeds:  GONZAGA, Baylor, Xavier, California
11 Seeds:  Oklahoma State, Oregon, BYU, Missouri, St. Joseph's
12 Seeds:  St. John's, HARVARD, Minnesota, GREEN BAY, TOLEDO
13 Seeds:  NORTH DAKOTA STATE, STEPHEN F AUSTIN, MIDDLE TENNESSEE, BELMONT
14 Seeds:  NEW MEXICO STATE, IONA, MERCER, DELAWARE
15 Seeds:  VERMONT, UC SANTA BARBARA, GEORGIA STATE, BOSTON U
16 Seeds:  NC CENTRAL, DAVIDSON, ROBERT MORRIS, WEBER STATE, SOUTHERN, VMI

Last 4 Byes:  California, Oklahoma State, Oregon, BYU
Last 4 In:  Missouri, St. Joseph's, St. John's, Minnesota
First 4 Out:  Nebraska, Providence, Dayton, Richmond
Next 4 Out:  Florida State, Tennessee, Southern Miss, Georgetown

Sunday, February 23, 2014

Bracket Projections - 2/23/2014

1 Seeds:  ARIZONA, FLORIDA, KANSAS, WICHITA STATE
2 Seeds:  Creighton, Duke, VILLANOVA, Syracuse
3 Seeds:  Wisconsin, Virginia, MICHIGAN STATE, Iowa State
4 Seeds:  Louisville, UCLA, Kentucky, SAINT LOUIS
5 Seeds:  Ohio State, Michigan, CINCINNATI, SAN DIEGO STATE
6 Seeds:  Iowa, North Carolina, Connecticut, Texas
7 Seeds:  Pittsburgh, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Massachusetts
8 Seeds:  VCU, Arizona State, GONZAGA, Stanford
9 Seeds:  George Washington, Memphis, Kansas State, Colorado
10 Seeds:  SMU, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Oregon
11 Seeds:  Saint John's, BYU, Tennessee, California, St. Joseph's
12 Seeds:  HARVARD, Xavier, Missouri, GREEN BAY, TOLEDO
13 Seeds:  NORTH DAKOTA STATE, STEPHEN F AUSTIN, NEW MEXICO STATE, MERCER
14 Seeds:  IONA, MIDDLE TENNESSEE, UC SANTA BARBARA, DELAWARE
15 Seeds:  VERMONT, GEORGIA STATE, BELMONT, BOSTON U
16 Seeds:  NC CENTRAL, DAVIDSON, ROBERT MORRIS, WEBER STATE, SOUTHERN, VMI

Last 4 Byes:  Oregon, St. John's, BYU, Tennessee
Last 4 In:  California, St. Joseph's, Xavier, Missouri
First 4 Out:  Minnesota, Dayton, Nebraska, Richmond
Next 4 Out:  Southern Miss, Arkansas, Georgetown, Providence


Saturday, February 22, 2014

Bracket Projections - 2/22/2014

1 Seeds:  ARIZONA, FLORIDA, Syracuse, WICHITA STATE
2 Seeds:  CREIGHTON, Villanova, Duke, KANSAS
3 Seeds:  Wisconsin, VIRGINIA, MICHIGAN STATE, CINCINNATI
4 Seeds:  UCLA, Kentucky, SAN DIEGO STATE, Iowa State
5 Seeds:  Iowa, Louisville, Michigan, SAINT LOUIS
6 Seeds:  Ohio State, North Carolina, Connecticut, Texas
7 Seeds:  Pittsburgh, GONZAGA, Massachusetts, Oklahoma
8 Seeds:  VCU, Arizona State, New Mexico, Memphis
9 Seeds:  SMU, Kansas State, George Washington, Colorado
10 Seeds:  Oregon, Stanford, Xavier, Baylor
11 Seeds:  Oklahoma State, Tennessee, Missouri, California, St. Joseph's
12 Seeds:  St. John's, BYU, HARVARD, GREEN BAY, TOLEDO
13 Seeds:  NORTH DAKOTA STATE, STEPHEN F AUSTIN, MERCER, MIDDLE TENNESSEE
14 Seeds:  IONA, GEORGIA STATE, DELAWARE, BELMONT
15 Seeds:  VERMONT, UC IRVINE, BOSTON U, NC CENTRAL
16 Seeds:  DAVIDSON, ROBERT MORRIS, UTAH VALLEY, WEBER STATE, SOUTHERN, COASTAL CAROLINA

Last 4 Byes:  Baylor, Oklahoma State, Tennessee, Missouri
Last 4 In:  California, St. Joseph's, St. John's, BYU
First 4 Out:  Minnesota, Dayton, Richmond, Southern Miss
Next 4 Out:  Nebraska, Arkansas, Providence, Georgetown

Thursday, February 20, 2014

Bracket Projecttions - 2/20/2014

1 Seeds:  ARIZONA, FLORIDA, Syracuse, WICHITA STATE
2 Seeds:  CREIGHTON, Duke, Villanova, KANSAS
3 Seeds:  Wisconsin, Michigan State, CINCINNATI, SAN DIEGO STATE
4 Seeds:  VIRGINIA, UCLA, MICHIGAN, Iowa State
5 Seeds:  Louisville, Iowa, Kentucky, SAINT LOUIS
6 Seeds:  Ohio State, Connecticut, GONZAGA, Texas
7 Seeds:  Pittsburgh, VCU, North Carolina, Arizona State
8 Seeds:  Oklahoma, Memphis, Massachusetts, New Mexico
9 Seeds:  SMU, Kansas State, Stanford, George Washington
10 Seeds:  Oklahoma State, Colorado, Minnesota, California
11 Seeds:  Tennessee, Oregon, Xavier, Missouri, Baylor
12 Seeds:  Saint John's, HARVARD, LOUISIANA TECH, St. Joseph's, GREEN BAY
13 Seeds:  NORTH DAKOTA STATE, MERCER, STEPHEN F AUSTIN, VERMONT
14 Seeds:  IONA, GEORGIA STATE, DELAWARE, UC IRVINE
15 Seeds:  BOSTON U, BELMONT, NC CENTRAL, WESTERN MICHIGAN
16 Seeds:  ROBERT MORRIS, DAVIDSON, WEBER STATE, SOUTHERN, UTAH VALLEY, COASTAL CAROLINA

Last 4 Byes:  California, Tennessee, Oregon, Xavier
Last 4 In:  Missouri, Baylor, Saint John's, St. Joseph's
First 4 Out:  BYU, Georgetown, Providence, Southern Miss
Next 4 Out:  Richmond, Florida State, Arkansas, Dayton

Tuesday, February 18, 2014

Bracket Projection - 2/18/2014

1 Seeds:  ARIZONA, FLORIDA, SYRACUSE, WICHITA STATE
2 Seeds:  Duke, CREIGHTON, Villanova, KANSAS
3 Seeds:  Wisconsin, Michigan State, SAN DIEGO STATE, CINCINNATI
4 Seeds:  Virginia, Iowa, MICHIGAN, Iowa State
5 Seeds:  Louisville, Ohio State, UCLA, SAINT LOUIS
6 Seeds:  Kentucky, Connecticut, GONZAGA, Texas
7 Seeds:  Pittsburgh, VCU, North Carolina, Massachusetts
8 Seeds:  Arizona State, Memphis, Oklahoma, Kansas State
9 Seeds:  SMU, Oklahoma State, Stanford, New Mexico
10 Seeds:  Minnesota, George Washington, California, Colorado
11 Seeds:  Oregon, Xavier, Baylor, Missouri, St. Joseph's
12 Seeds:  Tennessee, St. John's, HARVARD, LOUISIANA TECH, GREEN BAY
13 Seeds:  NORTH DAKOTA STATE, MERCER, TOLEDO, STEPHEN F AUSTIN
14 Seeds:  IONA, VERMONT, DELAWARE, GEORGIA STATE
15 Seeds:  UC IRVINE, BOSTON U, BELMONT, NC CENTRAL
16 Seeds:  ROBERT MORRIS, DAVIDSON, WEBER STATE, SOUTHERN, UTAH VALLEY, COASTAL CAROLINA

Last 4 Byes:  Colorado, Oregon, Xavier, Baylor
Last 4 In:  Missouri, St. Joseph's, Tennessee, St. John's
First 4 Out:  BYU, Providence, Georgetown, Richmond
Next 4 Out:  Florida State, Dayton, Southern Miss, Arkansas

Bid by Conference:
Big 12 - 7
Pac 12 - 7
Big 10 - 6
A10 - 5
ACC - 5
American - 5
Big East - 4
SEC - 4
MWC - 2

Sunday, February 16, 2014

Bracket Projections - 2/16/2014

1 Seeds:  ARIZONA, FLORIDA, SYRACUSE, VILLANOVA
2 Seeds:  Duke, KANSAS, WICHITA STATE, Michigan State
3 Seeds:  Crieghton, MICHIGAN, Wisconsin, Kentucky
4 Seeds:  Virginia, CINCINNATI, Iowa State, SAN DIEGO STATE
5 Seeds:  Iowa, Louisville, Ohio State, SAINT LOUIS
6 Seeds:  UCLA, Connecticut, Texas, Memphis
7 Seeds:  Pittsburgh, GONZAGA, VCU, Oklahoma
8 Seeds:  Arizona State, North Carolina, SMU, Kansas State
9 Seeds:  Oklahoma State, Massachusetts, Stanford, New Mexico
10 Seeds:  Colorado, Xavier, George Washington, California
11 Seeds:  Oregon, Tennessee, Minnesota, Missouri, Georgetown
12 Seeds:  Harvard, Toledo, GREEN BAY, NORTH DAKOTA STATE, MERCER
13 Seeds:  STEPHEN F AUSTIN, DELAWARE, IONA, VERMONT
14 Seeds:  UTEP, GEORGIA STATE, UC IRVINE, BOSTON U
15 Seeds:  BELMONT, NC CENTRAL, WESTERN MICHIGAN, DAVIDSON
16 Seeds:  ROBERT MORRIS, YALE, WEBER STATE, UTAH VALLEY, SOUTHERN, COASTAL CAROLINA

Last 4 Byes:  California, Oregon, Tennessee, Minnesota
Last 4 In:  Missouri, Goergetown, Harvard, Toledo
First 4 Out:  BYU, Louisiana Tech, Providence, St. Joseph's
Next 4 Out:  Southern Miss, Richmond, Florida State, Baylor


Wednesday, February 12, 2014

Bracket Projections - 2/12/2014

1 Seeds:  Arizona, Syracuse, Florida, Villanova
2 Seeds:  Duke, Kansas, Wichita State, Michigan State
3 Seeds:  Creighton, Michigan, Iowa, Wisconsin
4 Seeds:  Kentucky, San Diego State, Iowa State, Cincinnati
5 Seeds:  Virginia, Louisville, UCLA, Saint Louis
6 Seeds:  Ohio State, Pittsburgh, Gonzaga, Memphis
7 Seeds:  Connecticut, VCU, Texas, Massachusetts
8 Seeds:  Oklahoma State, SMU, Kansas State, Oklahoma
9 Seeds:  Arizona State, North Carolina, George Washington, New Mexico
10 Seeds:  Stanford, Xavier, Southern Miss, Colorado
11 Seeds:  Tennessee, Oregon, Minnesota, California
12 Seeds:  BYU, Georgetown, Missouri, Harvard, Toledo, North Dakota State
13 Seeds:  Stephen F Austin, Mercer, Green Bay, Delaware
14 Seeds:  Iona, Georgia State, Belmont, UC Irvine
15 Seeds:  Vermont, NC Central, American, Davidson
16 Seeds:  Robert Morris, Yale, Weber State, Southern, Utah Valley, VMI

Last 4 Byes:  Tennessee, Oregon, Minnesota, California
Last 4 In:  BYU, Georgetwon, Missouri, Harvard
First 4 Out:  Providence, LSU, St. Joseph's, Richmond
Next 4 Out:  Florida State, Louisiana Tech, West Virginia, St. John's

Monday, February 10, 2014

Bracket Projections - 2/10/2014

Here's my bracket projections for the games played through the weekend.  As is always the case these projections are largely based on current results, but they also factor in expected results through the rest of the season.

1 Seeds:  ARIZONA, SYRACUSE, VILLANOVA, KANSAS
2 Seeds:  Duke, FLORIDA, WICHITA STATE, Michigan State
3 Seeds:  Creighton, Wisconsin, SAN DIEGO STATE, Iowa State
4 Seeds:  Iowa, MICHIGAN, Kentucky, CINCINNATI
5 Seeds:  Louisville, Virginia, Ohio State, SAINT LOUIS
6 Seeds:  UCLA, Pittsburgh, GONZAGA, Memphis
7 Seeds:  Oklahoma State, Connecticut, Oklahoma, Texas
8 Seeds:  VCU, SMU, Massachusetts, North Carolina
9 Seeds:  Arizona State, Stanford, George Washington, New Mexico
10 Seeds:  Tennessee, Kansas State, SOUTHERN MISS, Colorado
11 Seeds:  Florida State, Xavier, Minnesota, California
12 Seeds:  Oregon, BYU, Harvard, Missouri, TOLEDO, NORTH DAKOTA STATE
13 Seeds:  STEPHEN F AUSTIN, MERCER, GREEN BAY, IONA
14 Seeds:  GEORGIA STATE, DELAWARE, VERMONT, BELMONT
15 Seeds:  UC IRVINE, AMERICAN U, NC CENTRAL, DAVIDSON
16 Seeds:  ROBERT MORRIS, YALE, WEBER STATE, UTAH VALLEY, SOUTHERN, VMI

Last 4 Byes:  Florida State, Xavier, Minnesota, California
Last 4 In:  Oregon, BYU, Harvard, Missouri
First 4 Out:  Providence, LSU, St. Joseph's, Richmond
Next 4 Out:  Louisiana Tech, Georgetown, Dayton, Clemson

The competition at the top of the bracket is really strong this year.  Arizona and Syracuse are as close to locks for a 1 seed as you can have at this point in the season.  I personally think Duke is the 3rd best team in the nation, but their loss to Notre Dame (and to a lesser degree Clemson) keeps them currently off the top line.  San Diego State has a gaudy record, but their SOS is somewhat suspect and there's a good chance they'll lose 1 or 2 games before the end of the year.  Wichita State may end the season undefeated, but their weak SOS also holds them back.  They are definitely in the conversation for a 1 seed, but their lack of top 50 wins compared to the other top teams keeps them on the 2 line for now.  Kansas has the most RPI top 50 wins in the nation (along with Arizona).  Villanova and Florida are both currently 5-2 against RPI top-50, but Villanova has 2 more top-100 wins than Florida which gives them the edge for now.

Saturday, February 8, 2014

Bracket Projection - 2/8/2014

1 Seeds:  ARIZONA, SYRACUSE, VILLANOVA, FLORIDA
2 Seeds:  KANSAS, WICHITA STATE, MICHIGAN STATE, SAN DIEGO STATE
3 Seeds:  Duke, Creighton, Michigan, CINCINNATI
4 Seeds:  Iowa State, Wisconsin, Kentucky, Virginia
5 Seeds:  Louisville, Iowa, Ohio State, ST. LOUIS
6 Seeds:  Pittsburgh, UCLA, Oklahoma State, Texas
7 Seeds:  VCU, GONZAGA, Massachusetts, Oklahoma
8 Seeds:  Connecticut, Memphis, George Washington, North Carolina
9 Seeds:  Arizona State, Stanford, New Mexico, Kansas State
10 Seeds:  SMU, Florida State, HARVARD, Colorado
11 Seeds:  Tennessee, Oregon, Xavier, Minnesota
12 Seeds:  SOUTHERN MISS, BYU, California, Missouri, Providence, TOLEDO
13 Seeds:  GREEN BAY, NORTH DAKOTA STATE, STEPHEN F AUSTIN, UC SANTA BARBARA
14 Seeds:  MERCER, GEORGIA STATE, DELAWARE, IONA
15 Seeds:  AMERICAN, BELMONT, NC CENTRAL, STONY BROOK
16 Seeds:  ROBERT MORRIS, UTAH VALLEY, WEBER STATE, SOUTHERN, CHATTANOOGA, VMI

Last 4 Byes:  Tennessee, Oregon, Xaveir, Minnesota
Last 4 In:  BYU, California, Missouri, Providence
First 4 Out:  Baylor, Louisiana Tech, Georgetown, Clemson
Next 4 Out:  Arkansas, St. Mary's, St. John's, LSU

Monday, February 3, 2014

Bracket Projections - 2/3/2014

Here's my updated bracket projections:

1 Seeds:  ARIZONA, SYRACUSE, FLORDIA, KANSAS
2 Seeds:  Duke, Villanova, WICHITA STATE, MICHIGAN STATE
3 Seeds:  CREIGHTON, Michigan, SAN DIEGO STATE, CINCINNATI
4 Seeds:  Iowa State, Kentucky, Wisconsin, Oklahoma State
5 Seeds:  Iowa, Virginia, Louisville, Pittsburgh
6 Seeds:  SAINT LOUIS, GONZAGA, UCLA, Massachusetts
7 Seeds:  Ohio State, Texas, Connecticut, Oklahoma
8 Seeds:  VCU, Memphis, George Washington, New Mexico
9 Seeds:  Arizona State, Florida State, Xavier, Minnesota
10 Seeds:  Tennessee, SOUTHERN MISS, Kansas State, Colorado
11 Seeds:  HARVARD, California, North Carolina, Missouri
12 Seeds:  SMU, Oregon, Stanford, LSU, Providence, TOLEDO
13 Seeds:  GREEN BAY, STEPHEN F AUSTIN, MERCER, UC SANTA BARBARA
14 Seeds:  DELAWARE, AMERICAN, VERMONT, GEORGIA STATE
15 Seeds:  CANISIUS, NC CENTRAL, IPFW, ROBERT MORRIS
16 Seeds:  WEBER STATE, MURRAY STATE, UTAH VALLEY, SOUTHERN, COASTAL CAROLINA, CHATTANOOGA

Last 4 Byes:  California, North Carolina, Missouri, SMU
Last 4 In:  Oregon, Stanford, LSU, Providence
First 4 Out:  BYU, Louisiana Tech, Baylor, Clemson
Next 4 Out:  Arkansas, St. Joseph's, Indiana, Boise State