Saturday, November 6, 2021

Final Preseason NCAA Bracket Projection - 11/6/21

 Here's my final preseason NCAA bracket projection.  Sagarin and BPI preseason ratings have now been released so I figured I'd update my projections accordingly.  This is still wildly speculative given that I'm using projected NET ratings from projected final season records in my analysis.  Once actual NET rankings are released then I'll start using those instead but prior to that it's pretty speculative.  Conference champs (teams in bold) are determined simply by highest rated team in the NET projections being utilized.

1 Seeds:  GONZAGA, ILLINOIS, UCLA, Kansas
2 Seeds:  Michigan, Purdue, TEXAS, MEMPHIS
3 Seeds:  Houston, Baylor, DUKE, VILLANOVA
4 Seeds:  Ohio St, Kentucky, TENNESSEE, ST. BONAVENTURE
5 Seeds:  Connecticut, Alabama, Florida, Louisville
6 Seeds:  Maryland, Xavier, Arkansas, Florida St
7 Seeds:  Auburn, North Carolina, USC, Texas Tech
8 Seeds:  Oregon, SAN DIEGO ST, Michigan St, Indiana
9 Seeds:  Notre Dame, LOYOLA CHICAGO, Saint Mary's, Richmond
10 Seeds:  BYU, West Virginia, Seton Hall, Arizona
11 Seeds:  LSU, Oklahoma St, Oklahoma, Colorado St, UCF
12 Seeds:  UAB, Virginia Tech, Utah St, OHIO, BELMONT
13 Seeds:  COLGATE, UC SANTA BARBARA, LIBERTY, SOUTH DAKOTA ST
14 Seeds:  NEW MEXICO ST, VERMONT, IONA, WRIGHT ST
15 Seeds:  GEORGIA ST, SOUTHERN UTAH, NORTHEASTERN, CHATTANOOGA
16 Seeds:  WINTHROP, YALE, MERRIMACK, MORGAN ST, JACKSON ST, NICHOLLS ST

Last 4 Byes:
Arizona
LSU
Oklahoma St
Oklahoma

Last 4 In:
Colorado St
UCF
Virginia Tech
Utah St

First 4 Out:
Iowa
Providence
San Francisco
Syracuse

Next 4 Out:
Drake
Mississippi St
Wisconsin
Clemson